According to an recent article at Reuters.com, the US is approaching the turning point in the office space downturn and should start to see a slow recovery over the next couple of years.
"The U.S. office vacancy rate is expected to peak in the middle of next year at 16.8 percent, as it did in 2003, and is expected to fall very slowly to 16.4 percent by the end of 2011 and to 15.3 percent by the end of 2012, according to CBRE Econometric Advisors.
Real estate research firm REIS Inc also sees a slow office recovery. REIS sees the U.S. office vacancy rate peaking at 17.7 percent at the end of this year and then slipping to 17.4 percent by the end of next year.
"There's nothing in the job market that's pointing to a quick lease-up of space," said Victor Calanog, REIS director of real estate."
The good news is that the bottom appears to be near. The bad news is that it will be a long slow recovery that will most likely parrallel the economic recovery of the US.
There are a few major markets that are already seeing good improvement. Both Manhattan and Washingtom DC has seen a lot of leasing activity. Ironically, they are the two most expensive markets in the US.
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